TipResumen

MARSEILLE

Marseille were defeated by newly promoted Nimes (3-1) last weekend. The result leaves them on 3 points and 9th place in the Ligue 1 table. This weekend they host Rennes looking to atone for the loss last time out. Rudi Garcia’s side have a form line of 3-1-1 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 3/5. Les Phocéens going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 4/5 which is excellent. At the back during this period they conceded on average 1.14 xG which is good. At home it's 4-1-0 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 5/5. Marseille have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 4/5 which is superb. Defensively, they have averaged 0.48 xG against which is insanely good.



RENNES

Rennes defeated Angers (1-0) last weekend to make amends for their opening weekend defeat. The result leaves them on 3 points and 12th place in the Ligue 1 table. Unfortunately for them a visit to Marseille isn’t a great opportunity to pick up more points. Sabri Lamouchi’s side have a form line of 3-1-1 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 3/5 which is strong. Les Rouges et Noirs going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is poor. At the back during this period they conceded on average 0.90 xG which is very good. Away from home it's 2-2-1 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 3/5. Rennes have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 0/5 which is dreadful. Defensively, they have averaged 0.99 xG against which is excellent, especially when playing on the road.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Marseille -1.25 AH. I expect the hosts to bounce back following last weekend’s shock result. Marseille are an excellent team at home and should have too much for Rennes who were a little fortunate to see of Angers last weekend. If Marseille score first I expect them to run away with this. Rennes lack of firepower in particular on the road is a concern for them. The Red and Blacks are strong defensively and won’t be easy to break down, however Marseille have averaged over 1.50 xG in 4/5 at home and should get at least a couple once they get the break through. Good Luck