TipResumen

LYON

Lyon suffered their first loss of the season last time out at newly promoted Reims (1-0). The loss leaves them down in 10th place and they will be hoping for a bounce back performance when Strasbourg visit the Groupama Stadium. Bruno Génésio’s side have a form line of 3-0-2 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 5/5 which is sensational. Les Gones going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is dreadful. At the back during this period they conceded on average 0.72 xG which is outstanding. At home it's 5-0-0 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 5/5. Lyon have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is strong. Defensively, they have averaged 0.54 xG against which is excellent.



STRASBOURG

Strasbourg drew at St Etienne (1-1) last time out to remain unbeaten this season. With 4 points on the board after 2 games they will be hoping to improve on last season’s 15th placed finish avoiding the bottom 3 by just 1 point. Thierry Laurey’s side have a form line of 2-1-2 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 2/5 which is good. Le Racing going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 0/5 which is awful. At the back during this period they conceded on average 0.97 xG which is decent. Away from home it's 1-1-3 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 3/5. Strasbourg have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is poor. Defensively, they have averaged 0.99 xG against which is decent when playing away from home.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Lyon -1.75 AH. Strasbourg have made a pleasing start but in both their games this season their opponents have been reduced to 10 men inside 20 minutes. Despite the extra man Strasbourg have combined for a total 1.96 xG going forward and that’s poor. In Lyon, and assuming the hosts keep 11 on the field I expect a tough evening for the visitors. Lyon themselves are coming off a poor loss will want to bounce back straight away and at home they are dominating opponents. Les Gomes have won the supremacy in 5/5 at home, rarely conceding strong chances in defence and have averaged over 1.5 xG going forward in 3/5. A motivated host against a side who are a little fortunate to have points on the table should see a dominate home win.

Good Luck