TipResumen

INTER MILAN

Inter Milan lost at Sassuolo (0-1) last time out to start their season in the worst possible fashion. Inter are pointless and down in 17th place in the Serie A table looking to bounce back immediately this weekend. Luciano Spalletti’s side enter this game with a form line of 2-0-3 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 3/5 which is very good. Going forward Inter have finished with over 1.50 xG in 3/5 which is strong. At the back during this period they have conceded on average 1.27 xG which is ok. At home it's 2-1-2 in the last 5 Serie A games winning the xG supremacy in 3/5. I Nerazzurri have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is strong. Defensively, they have averaged 0.74 xG against which is sensational.



TORINO

Torino lost to Roma (0-1) last time also starting their season with a defeat. 0 points leaves Torino in 18th place in the Serie A table along side Inter ahead of Sunday’s clash. Walter Mazzarri’s side enter this game with a form line of 2-1-2 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 2/5 which is ok. Going forward Torino have finished with over 1.50 xG in 1/5 which is in need of improvement At the back during this period they have conceded on average 1.52 xG which is dreadful. Away from home it's 2-2-1 in the last 5 Serie A games winning the xG supremacy in 3/5. Il Toro have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is dreadful. Defensively, they have averaged 1.43 xG against which is poor.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Inter -1.25 AH. Neither side started the season well last weekend but I was more disappointed in Torino who in a home opener could only manage a 0.5xG against Roma. Inter weren’t’ much better but did register 1.2xG in a better display of attacking intent. Inter are strong at home often winning the supremacy and creating the better goal scoring opportunities. They have 3/5 games ending with over 1.5xG going forward which against Torino’s 1.43xG against away matches up very well for them. At the other end, Inter don’t give up much and Torino have breached 1.5xG or more in just 1/5 on their travels. As a result, I will take the higher AH line of 1.25 whereby we lose half our stake if Inter win by just 1 goal but I think they run out 2 goal winners here. Good Luck