TipResumen

FULHAM

Fulham were defeated at Tottenham (3-1) last time out in the Premier League making it 2 losses from 2. The result leaves them on 0 points which is good for 18th position, one of the relegation places. Slaviša Jokanović side have lost both games in the Premier League so far. In terms of expected goals xG they have lost the supremacy to both Burnley and Tottenham. Going forward they are averaging 1.04xG per game which is a low and should improve as the season goes on. The negative is at the other end conceding 1.88xG which is far too high. At home last season in the Championship Fulham finished with the 4th best record. The West Londoners lost just twice all season averaging 2.04 points per game. At Craven Cottage they will be their strongest and I think their first win will come in a home game this season.



BURNLEY

Burnley were soundly defeated by Watford (1-3) last time out to leave them winless after 2 games. The result leaves them on 1 point and 15th place in the Premier League table ahead of Sunday’s visit to Craven Cottage. Sean Dyche side have a form line of 0-2-3 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 2/5 which is ok. The Clarets going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is dreadful. At the back during this period they conceded on average 1.44 xG which is poor. Away from home it's 2-2-1 in the last 5 Premier League games winning the xG supremacy in 4/5. Burnley have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 1/5 which is poor. Defensively, they have averaged 1.16 xG against which is excellent when playing away from home.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Burnley +0.5 AH. I like Burnley on their travels in this spot against a newly promoted side who haven’t quite gelled yet with many new names coming into the side. Burnley will set up defensively looking to counter on Fulham and this is something they do extremely well. On their travels Burnley have lost just 1/5 but more importantly won the xG supremacy in 4/5. They concede just over 1xG away from home and I think Fulham need 2 goals to win this game. The hosts haven’t started well, in front of goal they haven’t produced the best numbers. Defensively they are conceded too many chances, until they get that first win the pressure builds. Burnley are tried and tested and we know they won’t buckle and given a head start they are my bet here.