TipResumen

BORDEAUX

Bordeaux lost 2-1 at Toulouse last time out to leave them winless and pointless after 2 games. Gus Poyet is suspended and the club is in disarray ahead of the new season with many off the field issues. Unfortunately, on the field it doesn’t get much easier with Monaco the visitors on Sunday afternoon. The manager less side have a form line of 3-0-2 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 3/5 all from last season. Les Girondins going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is strong. At the back during this period they conceded on average 1.21 xG which is ok. At home it's 3-0-2 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 4/5. Bordeaux have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is strong. Defensively, they have averaged 0.88 xG against which is very good.



MONACO

Monaco drew with Lille (0-0) last time out to maintain their unbeaten start to the season. The visit Bordeaux at a nice time with them both out of form and with no manager at the helm. Leonardo Jardim’s side have a form line of 4-1-0 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 5/5 which is outstanding. Les Monégasques going forward finished with over 1.50 xG for in 4/5 which is excellent. At the back during this period they conceded on average 0.82 xG which is also very good. Away from home it's 2-1-2 in the last 5 Ligue 1 games winning the xG supremacy in 2/5. Monaco have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 2/5 which is ok. Defensively, they have averaged 2.01 xG against which is dreadful skewed following their mauling at PSG (7-1) at the back end of last season.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Monaco to Win. Monaco have made a pleasing start despite winning just 1 of their 2 games. In both they dominated the expected goals supremacy and should have plenty of joy against this disillusioned Bordeaux side. The hosts have averaged just 0.44 xG going forward in their 2 games which in front of their home fans won’t be good enough. They will be encouraged to forward which will play into Monaco’s hands, especially on the counter. Neither team draws many 0/5 at home for Bordeaux and 1/5 away for Monaco. The visitors won’t want to miss this opportunity to defeat a strong home opponent when their guard is down. I was shocked to see the prices here and feel Monaco are decent value to go and claim all 3 points on Sunday.

Good Luck