TipResumen

AS ROMA

Roma won at Torino (0-1) last time out starting their season with a victory. The result leaves them in 5th place in the Serie A table and they will be looking to make it 6/6 when they host Atalanta on Monday evening. Eusebio Di Francesco's side enter this game with a form line of 4-1-0 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 4/5 which is exceptional. Going forward Roma have finished with over 1.50 xG in 1/5 which is very poor. At the back during this period they have conceded on average 0.82 xG which is excellent. At home it's 3-1-1 in the last 5 Serie A games winning the xG supremacy in 3/5. I Giallorossi have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is strong. Defensively, they have averaged 0.80 xG against which is superb.



ATALANTA

Atalanta defeated Frosinone (4-0) last time also starting their season superbly. 3 points on the board leaves Atalanta in 1st place in the Serie A table ahead of Sunday’s clash at Roma. Gian Piero Gasperini's side enter this game with a form line of 2-2-1 winning the expected goals (xG) supremacy in 5/5 which is sensational. Going forward Atalanta have finished with over 1.50 xG in 4/5 which is superb. At the back during this period they have conceded on average 0.78 xG which is excellent. Away from home it's 2-2-1 in the last 5 Serie A games winning the xG supremacy in 5/5. Il Nerazzurri have finished with over 1.50 xG for in 3/5 which is very strong. Defensively, they have averaged 0.78 xG against which is exceptional when playing on the road.



BETTING VERDICT

I will take Atalanta +0.5 AH. Atalanta look value to avoid defeat on Monday night. Roma are a good team especially at home whereby they have won the supremacy in 3/5, however the visitors equally have impressive numbers. Il Nerazzurri have won the supremacy in 5/5 on their travels conceding just 0.78 xG against. Roma will need at least 2 goals to win this game I think, possibly 3. Atalanta netted 4 times last weekend with an xG of 2.67 compared to Roma's 1.18 and at odds against I'm happy to side with the visitors.



Good Luck